Why are they leaving? (three)

In the past two years, there has been a hot word in the Chinese circle, Run. I guess, it is the transliteration of RUN. People who run overseas all use this word to describe it. This is a very interesting thing, why such a word is used, probably the general environment has caused general anxiety, making people realize that the people who are leaving now are really on the run.

In 2021, a guy from Henan suddenly became popular on YouTube because he took a few videos of Xinjiang and happened to be quoted by a certain female politician in the United States. The boy was pushed to the top of the wave in an instant. Later, it was uncovered by a serious broadcaster, but it was just a random shot in a public place, and the guy exaggerated and added a political commentary. After dismantling the young man's motives, they roughly revealed their original appearance. An astonishing plan. He first bought the cheapest second-hand car as a non-cleaning means of transportation to Xinjiang, and then carefully selected the location, probably a prison or something, then shot a bunch of videos pretending to be in a dangerous area, and then returned . Coupled with a series of rural random shots and elaborate explanations taken before, the preparations are complete. The next step is to board the plane from Hong Kong, enter Ecuador without a visa, then transfer to the Bahamas, and finally enter the United States by small road. It took nearly three months. The video I took was probably to prepare materials for political asylum. Unfortunately, after being exposed, the guy never appeared again. It appeared on the Internet and became a member of the American black family.

There are some families who are live broadcasting on the platform. They traveled through the Mexican jungle and took advantage of the political turmoil in the United States to land in the United States. Wish them all the best.

There are also some so-called celebrities in the pro-democracy circle, almost collectively, who left for Southeast Asia.

Why are they fleeing?

The continued deterioration of the economy and politics, the flight has accelerated since twenty years ago, but now it has reached a new peak. The situation has also deteriorated to the point that people who don't know much about China's national conditions can feel the same political pressure and the storm is coming. The epidemic just adds a heavy bundle of straw to the camel that is about to collapse.

Since the 1990s, the country has been opened up economically, and a super stimulant has been injected into China, which has a low starting point. As a result, China's economy has developed in a state of excitement. Of course, this kind of hyperactivity is also abnormal, and the sacrifice is health. Lowering the value of labor force regardless of reason, attracting foreign capital by whatever means, and selling state-owned assets regardless of cost. The whole country erupted quickly. After the wto, it quickly became the factory of the world. This kind of deformed export has even caused developed countries to suffer from China dependence. They enjoy the high quality and low price brought by China's labor exploitation with peace of mind, and have moved their factories to this profit-making paradise. But everything has a price, short-sightedness is a common problem of people, and wisdom is really needed to overcome it.

In the next two decades, a perfect power-changing society was staged. It has accumulated a lot of wealth for those in power. The amount is beyond imagination. The specific model will not be described too much, and a scale can be imagined only from the number of assets. More than 10 years ago, there were more than 20 invisible families with assets exceeding one trillion yuan. At that time, there were only twelve countries in the world whose GDP exceeded one trillion yuan. Now there are only more than fifty countries with assets exceeding one trillion yuan. After more than ten years of accumulation, I don't know how many such families there are in China. And under these top-level families, there are sub-levels. For example, some provincial and deputy provincial leaders who were unlucky and investigated have standard assets in units of tens of billions. Below that, there is a lower level, which extends to the whole society. It is normal for a small policeman to have assets exceeding tens of millions. This is also what I said before. When you become a law enforcement officer, you are basically separated from the ordinary people and become one with the upper class. In a short period of time, their wealth is inexhaustible, and this wealth is enough for them to use force to deal with various social crises. Pessimism is born from this.

It is inevitable that this model of class stratification will lead to political deterioration. There are also many iconic events, such as the establishment of the National Security Committee, the July 9th Incident, and so on. Political deterioration inevitably leads to economic deterioration. After international trade became saturated, the sequelae caused by hyperinflation followed, and international competition began to decline. So a shot of the real estate economy was used as a new stimulant, and then it couldn't stop. Everyone knows what the consequences will be. They also tried to stop the drug in 2009, but unfortunately they were too weak, and they were paralyzed after stopping the drug. They had no choice but to continue to increase the dose. The unprecedented human cannibalism was staged.

The time came to 2016, and the WTO expired. Anyone who understands economics knows that the good times are coming to an end. The reason is simple. In the past two decades, China has used various means to take advantage of the benefits of international trade, but it has not fulfilled its commitments. Eighty-five percent of the disputes during the trade originated in China. Faced with such an opponent without any faith, countries immediately chose to avoid it. The so-called trade war is just that after the expiration, the previous agreement does not have to be fulfilled, and because of China's breach of trust, other countries immediately terminated relevant agreements, such as tariff treatment. However, China's internal propaganda has become a foreign provocation. As a result, the West, headed by the United States, has once again become the gnashing enemy of the people. But the smart rich people understood what was going on, so they immediately started a wave of people's money transfers. From 2016 to 2018 alone, foreign exchange dropped from 43,000 to 28,000, and the vast majority of the remaining funds were occupied by foreign companies. As a result, China had almost no foreign exchange available. When it was most tense, even medicine and medical equipment Imports were also stopped.

In order to stop the momentum of people's money fleeing abroad, China ushered in the most stringent period of economic supervision. From the central bank to local banks, there is a new regulation almost every three days. The current policies such as classified accounts of the bank all come from that period. Hong Kong has to be mentioned here. Seventy percent of China’s foreign exchange flows in and out of Hong Kong. Controlling Hong Kong is the top priority, so it is not difficult to understand everything that happened in Hong Kong. Later, using high-quality official resources to frantically borrow and finance externally, it was considered that the foreign exchange was raised to three trillion yuan. The so-called trade war has almost pushed China's economy to a desperate situation, and it is impossible to predict what will happen next. But for those who understand, fleeing by any means has become a trend.

The epidemic broke out, and the reason is not random speculation. The global recession triggered by this has weakened the sensitivity of the Chinese people to the economic collapse. At the same time, it also highlights the subversive changes that are taking place in politics. More and more people are beginning to realize that the whole country is not normal, so going abroad has become lucrative.

Even property is not important anymore, what matters is people going out. During the epidemic, almost all international traffic was interrupted, and the very few who were lucky enough to board a flight and land in another country almost always expressed their escape speeches. However, China stopped issuing passports and began Nazi-style censorship on limited flights. Any record on a mobile phone may cause huge troubles. There is reason to believe that this will be the norm in the future. And on China's long land border, a new miracle has also been established, a high-voltage power grid project thousands of kilometers long.

There was a small episode in the middle. Some traveling students and retired cadres who had emigrated overseas who were accustomed to using WeChat and reading Chinese media could not resist the temptation. They overcame all difficulties and returned to China during the epidemic. Most of them will not be able to get out in this life. . .

Finally, let me make a prophecy that Run will be even more desperate and unscrupulous in the future!