Pan Xuan: The Protracted War between Russia and Ukraine

The chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, Mr. Mark Milley, expects that the dispute between Russia and Ukraine will last for many years. This is actually a conspiracy, and clearly tells Russia that the real intention of the United States is to hope that the Russian army will be trapped in the Ukrainian battlefield for several years. .

The U.S. has made a lot of money from the Russia-Ukraine conflict. It not only increased arms sales and energy export orders, but also wiped out its decadence after its defeats in Iraq and Afghanistan. In the past few years in the Middle East, the Americans have not wasted their time in vain. They have also learned how to take advantage of asymmetrical advantages, and have used them extremely effectively in the Ukrainian battlefield, while at the same time consuming Russia’s national strength. It can be said to accomplish many things with one fell swoop.

So, the question is, will Russia accept or not accept the conspiracy of the Americans?

In fact, Russia must accept it. The difference between Yang Conspiracy and conspiracy is that conspiracy can be cracked, but Yang Conspiracy cannot be stopped.

If yes, then let's continue to consume it in Ukraine. With its national strength, it will not take many years, but only one year to cause problems.

If not connected, two options will appear:

1. Retire the army.

2. Quickly decide the outcome with the Ukrainian army in the short term, overthrow the Zelensky government, establish a pro-Russian puppet government, and sign an unequal treaty. However, with the assistance of Europe and the United States, Ukraine will not let Putin get his wish. The main task of the Ukrainian army is to drag Russia to death on the battlefield.

If Putin chooses to withdraw from the army, there will be two situations:

1. Completely withdraw from Ukrainian territory, including Crimea and the Ukrainian region, and then sign a ceasefire agreement with Ukraine, and then gradually resolve and ease relations with Europe and the United States through diplomatic channels.

2. Partial withdrawal, keep Crimea, give up the Udong area, let the state return to many years ago, accumulate strength, and make calculations after a few years. However, the sanctions in Europe and the United States will not be lifted because of this. No matter whether there is a ceasefire or not, the sanctions will still exist.

If you fight against conspiracy, there will be two situations in Ukraine:

1. The Russian army was eventually dragged down, and NATO sent troops to directly overthrow Mr. Putin's rule in Russia, or a coup d'etat in Russia, or a popular revolution.

2. Mr. Putin stepped down ahead of schedule and handed over the future to his successor. The future president will temporarily end the hostile relationship with Europe and the United States by withdrawing troops. However, whether Mr. Putin can end well depends on the negotiation conditions and the prevailing circumstances. Internal and external environment.

Up to now, the situation is very unfavorable for the Russian side. How to choose is only between Mr. Putin's thoughts. However, it is a bit difficult to break the game. The strength of the Russian camp is limited, and the trump card is conspiracy, and it is almost exhausted. In front of the wise, conspiracy has little effect. And the United States and Europe still have a lot of trump cards, and so far, they have not really sent troops.