The Ukrainian president is cowardly, and the next peace talks are likely to accept ceding land

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The war situation in Ukraine has entered its thirteenth day. Although there was no agreement in the third meeting last night, it can be seen from the attitudes of the Ukrainian side and the Russian side today that the Russians have achieved certain results in the war situation. This afternoon Ukraine For the first time, President Zelensky relented, referring to the possibility of recognizing the Republic of Crimea and the Donbass, saying that we can discuss the issue and find a compromise on how people live there. On the contrary, the attitude of the Kremlin is that if Kyiv meets Russia's conditions, it can stop the operation "at any time". Therefore, the next fourth peace talks are likely to make some progress. From the attitude of Ukraine, it can be seen that the war should be over soon. Everyone, prepare for the post-war market.

Then there's the Fed raising interest rates, although Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said last week in the Senate that he would recommend a 25 basis point hike at next week's FOMC meeting. But it can be seen that Powell has been very cautious about raising interest rates this time, and he has made it clear that it is impossible to raise interest rates by 50 basis points for the first time, so the key now is whether these 25 basis points can be added smoothly. Now the Fed It is a bit of a dilemma. If the interest rate hike is too aggressive, although it can ease inflation, it may also cause the possibility of an economic depression, so let's continue to pay attention to the final interest rate hike.

Regarding the number of interest rate hikes, I remember that Goldman Sachs predicted 9 interest rate hikes before. At that time, the crypto market panicked. Recently, the CEO of Morgan Stanley gave his own prediction. He believes that the Fed will raise interest rates 4 times in 2022. 25 basis points at a time, he added, "The Fed has to raise rates, and the Fed doesn't want to send the economy into a recession. If it puts the economy in a recession, it's going to go into stagflation, which is really bad. The Fed was absolutely planning. 50 point hikes, but not now. I'd be shocked to see a 50 point hike because the Fed can't put in the courage in an environment of uncertainty. I think the Fed will raise rates very methodically. The worst that can happen The bad thing is that the war situation subsides, the world is back to some level of normalcy, inflation is staying high, and the Fed isn't doing enough. That's tricky.

In addition, the encryption regulation I said before is really coming. Today, The Wall Street Journal reported that the White House will issue an executive order this week requiring multiple federal agencies to conduct extensive evaluations of cryptocurrencies, including research into creating a U.S. The White House is expected to announce the executive order in the coming days. The White House executive order will require the Treasury Department to assess the risks cryptocurrencies may pose to broader financial stability, as well as the illicit financial and national security risks posed by these tokens. The U.S. government will also examine how cryptocurrencies shape economic competitiveness and how U.S. allies treat digital assets.

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BTC: Bitcoin is subject to too many global uncertainties, so you can zoom in on the K-line chart and you can see it. The 4-hour level can be said to be a wide-ranging trend. As a result, it fell from a maximum of 39500 to a minimum of 37200, but then the broader market began to rise again. As of now, it has basically returned to the level of the falling position.

The 4-hour level has some support near 37000, but this support is not strong, and the market outlook may still be a weak adjustment, but one thing is clear, if it stands above 42800 again, the market will further rebound sharply. If it falls below 37300, the broader market will re-search for the test, including re-validation of the previous low of 32900.

ETH: Recently, the gas cost of Ethereum has continuously hit new lows. It can be seen that the currency circle as a whole is still very cold recently, more precisely, NFT is also cold, but the financial market is like this, it is useless to have a permanent bull market, but once the market If it gets hot again, then both DEFI and NFT will continue to empower Ethereum, so it is a very safe investment choice to hold Ethereum spot for a long time.

SOL: SOL is following the broader market today, and its volume and energy have also declined. There should be no independent market in the short term. In the long term, it can continue to be held, which is relatively stable.

AVAX: Avalanche is also following the broader market today. It should be more affected by the macro in the short term. The long-term upside of Avalanche is actually quite large, and it is worth holding for a long time.

ICP: ICP is a market market, and there should be no independent rising market in the short term. However, the ecology of ICP still has great potential. At present, the statistics website has not included it in the mainstream public chain. These are all space, and it is worthwhile in the long run. held.

FLoW: Recently, @packyM (Twitter account), a consultant of A16Z, wrote a 14,000-word flow milk article. This article is very thorough. It introduces the past, present and future of flow to everyone. I strongly recommend everyone to read it. After reading it, I believe that your understanding of flow will rise to another level, and you will hold it more firmly for a long time.

[Disclaimer] The above content does not constitute any investment advice. According to the relevant documents of the "Risk Warning on Preventing Illegal Fund Raising in the Name of [Virtual Currency] [Blockchain]" issued by the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission and other five departments in August 2018, please Look at the blockchain rationally, and don’t blindly trust others. The digital asset market is extremely volatile and risky, and you need to be highly cautious when entering the market.

[Risk Reminder] Digital assets fluctuate greatly and the risks are extremely high. Please participate with caution, put an end to the full-cow stud, and refuse loan leverage.